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April 20, 2012

Science Department

Weyland-Yutani Startup?

Could we be seeing the start of the Weyland-Yutani Corporation?

A new space startup company, Planetary Resources, claims they "will overlay two critical sectors -- space exploration and natural resources". That sounds like space mining! And it's not just a bunch of nuts I've never heard of backing this idea. The investors include Ross Perot Jr., Google co-founder and CEO Larry Page and Google chairman Eric Schmidt, James Cameron and Microsoft billionaire Charles Simonyi.

One of the classic memes in science fiction is the exploitation of resources beyond Earth, and in particular asteroid mining. We know there are valuable minerals to be mined just sitting around on rocks with orbits not too distant from Earth.

There is platinum, cobalt, gold, cobalt, iron, manganese, molybdenum, nickel, osmium, palladium, platinum, rhenium, rhodium, ruthenium, tungsten, and more, just waiting to be picked up and flung back towards Earth.

And let's not forget hydrogen and oxygen which is cheap on Earth, but expensive to put up into space. It would be much easier to fling those elements down into Earth orbit than to haul them up from the surface because of the deep gravity well we sit at the bottom of. Those two elements are very valuable as propulsion and already having them up in orbit would reduce the cost of rocket travel beyond Earth orbit enormously.

And I do mean "fling". Asteroids don't have a huge mass like a planet the size of Earth does, so it's easy to get some of that mass away from them. In other words, the gravity well they sit at the bottom of isn't very deep. In fact, it's barely more than a rim. We would have more trouble keeping things on the surface of an asteroid than getting them off.

Since we are just talking about minerals or elements, and nothing that is living, a gentle change in velocity, called delta-v, will start any container slowly on its way down towards Earth, which sits at the bottom of a much larger gravity well. With a very precise push, you can expect the containers to either park themselves in Earth orbit, or even into a trajectory that would drop them down onto Earth for recovery, all with that initial push.

This is some very exciting news for space buffs and old kids like me who read all about such operations in science fiction novels. As a kid I just assumed that, by now, I would be working and living in space, yet commercialization of space has been nothing more than a pipe dream until recently.

But dream no more. Space-X corporation is scheduled to launch the first commercial resupply mission to the International Space Station on April 30th on a rocket they are designing to be man-certified. Spaceport America is a facility in New Mexico that is specifically designed for commercial space operations including facilities for the tourists Virgin Galactic will be flying into space (although not into orbit yet). Bigelow Aerospace is working on the old NASA inflatable space habitat concept, and expects to use the services of Space-X not only to launch the stations, but to supply crew and supplies. They plan on renting them out to nations or companies that can't afford to build and launch their own stations.

Asteroid mining, however, is one of the great dreams of space commercialization. The potential for profit is huge, and so are the risks, but it represents a major milestone in man reaching for the stars. The reach this time is not just for exploration and knowledge, but for profit.

In Robert Heinlein's classic story The Man Who Sold the Moon, the main character recognized that space travel would never become common until people could make money from the venture. He hid some diamonds on a flight to the moon so he could convince people it would be worth going back. In the case of asteroids, we already know the valuable materials to be harvested. It's just a matter of having the technology to go out there so they can be tossed back to Earth.

If any space miners go along to repair the equipment, I just hope they remember to never, under any circumstances, look into a slimy alien egg as it it opening up. Even with a helmet on, that just never goes well in the end.

May 21, 2011

Science Department

Disappointed!

What a friggin' waste of my time! It's now 6:22 pm local time and still no Rapture. It was supposed to start at 6:00 pm and I was all ready for it. I had my camera with a basic theodolite setup, and pointing directly towards a local church. Being in a typical American city, there are churches every few blocks, of course, so I was ready to slew the camera towards at least one more church as well.

After all, there must be at least some of the pastors and priests or nuns who would get the final calling.

By getting a few directional and angle fixes, plus knowing the distances to the churches, I should have been able to calculate the precise direction of Heaven. At just before 6:04 local time I thought I saw something and took my first fix.

Rapture Photo_003.JPG
It turned out to be nothing but a bird landing in that tree on the left.

Talk about crappy luck. I had the equipment and procedure all setup and ready for a major discovery and nothing happens but a bird landing on a tree.

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Update at 9:11 pm

May 3, 2011

9/11 Department

Exclusive WindySat Imagery!

In an effort to keep you up-to-date, Windypundit has sent its spy satellite (WindySat) to check out the Abbottabad compound in Pakistan to see if we could spot the downed Black Hawk helicopter. Sure enough! There it is. That black "X" shaped object to the left of the building.

abbottabad_pakistan_05_02_11.jpg

OK, I admit it. WindySat is down for repairs so I had to get this from GeoEye.
Still, pretty cool...

May 2, 2011

9/11 Department

Ding-Dong! The Witch Is Dead!

Yes, the Wicked Witch is dead.

The world is certainly a better place without Osama Bin Laden in it.

I would have preferred that Bin Laden had been captured and put on trial, but I suppose he had no intention of allowing that to happen.  A capture and trial would have highlighted the difference between vendetta and justice. It also would have softened the inevitable images of Americans celebrating.

I feel satisfaction, not joy, at Bin Laden's death. Crowds of Americans exalting in celebration over the death of an enemy is predictable, and even understandable, on some level. Despite this, all I can think of when seeing such displays is the footage of extremists around the world celebrating like fools the death of thousands on 9/11. I despised them for celebrating death.

It would have been nice to think that Americans were better than that, but I suppose a mob is a mob, no matter how enlightened the individuals.

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Update: Damn. Now I can't get that blasted song out of my head...

April 27, 2011

Connections Department

It's a Fake!

It was produced in Area 51 by the aliens who are taking over the world by using the UN to destroy democracy in an evil plot that is being fought against by agents of the Pope who is using the Democratic Party to shift Papal agents into the United States as illegal Mexicans so he can surround Area 51 in Nevada and bring the green alien menace to an end using his Papal brown aliens in a coordinated plan which is itself being thwarted by Obama, who himself is one of these aliens, which is why all of his documents are false and why he spent $20 million to hide them, which are actually stored in Area 51 which Jan Brewer knows about, but she is afraid to do anything about, since she knows how powerful the green aliens are and is afraid of them, but has been duped into stopping the brown aliens being brought in by the Pope because she is just a pawn being used by both sides.

You are all sheeple because you can't see something so obvious as this.

Now, where's my goal-post shovel?

April 26, 2011

Book Department

Paper Books Becoming More Expensive

Here's a fun fact:

The free market, combined with poorly written computer algorithms, means you might have to pay $23,698,655.93 (plus $3.99 shipping) for a book about flies at Amazon. Read all about it at Michael Eisen's blog it is NOT junk.

April 24, 2011

Religion Department

Happy Easter!

For those of you not familiar with it, allow me to fill you in on the details about this annual event called "Easter". Easter is a series of rituals celebrating the Great Jewish Zombie Uprising of 33 A.D. That uprising is described in one of the Holy Books of the followers of the Great Zombie Jesus. The Book called Mathew, chapter 27, verses 51-53 recounts:

At that moment the curtain of the temple was torn in two from top to bottom. The earth shook, the rocks split and the tombs broke open. The bodies of many holy people who had died were raised to life. They came out of the tombs after Jesus' resurrection and went into the holy city and appeared to many people.


The culminating event of this weekend uprising was their leader Jesus himself rising from his grave to lead his army into the city of Jerusalem in an effort to rebuild their ancient temple which had previously been destroyed. The followers of the Great Zombie Jesus refer to him as the "Messiah" which is an ancient Hebrew word for "Great Warrior" and "King of Kings". He was believed to be a direct descendant of a previous warrior, credited with leading great bloody battle campaigns, called David.

The army of zombies, lead by this messianic zombie warrior Jesus, was driven back by the valiant Roman soldiers protecting the good people of Jerusalem. The Zombie Temple was not restored, and no one has heard from Jesus and his zombie army since that fateful weekend in Jerusalem.

Zombie cults, however, don't die out easily, as is evidenced by the many incarnations of Resident Evil. Despite the defeat of Zombie Jesus and his Army of Zombies, his followers kept the idea alive that someday, he would rise again, leading a new army of two hundred million to destroy not just Jerusalem, but one third of the entire human population. From the Book Revelations, chapter 9, verses 13-17:

Then the sixth angel sounded: And I heard a voice from the four horns of the golden altar which is before God, saying to the sixth angel who had the trumpet, "Release the four angels who are bound at the great river Euphrates." So the four angels, who had been prepared for the hour and day and month and year, were released to kill a third of mankind. Now the number of the army of the horsemen was two hundred million; I heard the number of them. And thus I saw the horses in the vision: those who sat on them had breastplates of fiery red, hyacinth blue, and sulfur yellow; and the heads of the horses were like the heads of lions; and out of their mouths came fire, smoke, and brimstone.

The modern Zombie Worshipers of today are still hoping for this apocalypse, and pray for the day that the Great Zombie Jesus will wreak his vengeance upon the people of Earth. To this end, they practice a variety of strange rituals which are supposed to help bring this destruction about. It's no surprise that one of these zombie rituals involves symbolic cannibalism, whereby they drink red wine and eat bread which they believe has been magically transformed into actual human blood and human flesh. If you sneak into one of their temples, you can actually see them stand in line, eager to rip into bits and pieces of what they believe to be the zombie leader Jesus.

Another disturbing ritual is the coloration of dead chicken embryos which are hidden all about by adults. Cult members think that these embryos will hatch into undead chickens, recreating the Great Jewish Zombie Uprising on a smaller scale. With chickens.

Undead chickens.

They send their children out to find and retrieve these dead embryos, counting them up. If the number of embryos retrieved is less than the number hidden, it's proof that at least some undead chickens were hatched, and that the power of the zombie Jesus is still strong. Special clothing is often purchased just for these events.

Anthropologists believe this particular tradition was started when the zombie followers believed that rabbits were actually undead chickens. The rapid increase in the number of rabbits was credited to the hatching of the dead chicken embryos.

After the ritual of the Hidden Embryos, zombie worshipers usually hold a feast where they roast the largest short pig they can find, which is the closest they can legally get to roasting long pig and eating of their flesh. Since the quality isn't as good, they make up for it in quantity, often roasting enough meat for several meals. Eventually, sated on short pig, they doze off dreaming of zombie uprisings.

The truly amazing thing is that, except when playing hide and seek with chicken embryos in the bushes, these cult members manage to fit in surprisingly well into modern society. Yes, it's likely you may even know one of these cult members yourself! Perhaps you stood next to one in the grocery line. You may even work next to one without even realizing.

Just like the zombies they worship, zombie followers are harmless individually or even in small numbers. A small chainsaw, or a simple katana hiding behind a nearby drainpipe in your local shopping mall, will dispatch a few zombies, or zombie sympathizers, quickly and easily. They know this as well which is why you can safely have lunch with them in the cafeteria without being worried about their cannibalistic urges.

Zombie worshipers are only dangerous in large hordes. Once they are in large enough groups to form a voting bloc, they turn on you and try to eat the brains of your children. Fortunately for mankind, the cult, over the course of 2000 years, has split into smaller warring sects, limiting their ability to form into large hordes.

So, on this Easter Day in 2011, feel free to partake in some of these quaint customs of this unusual group. Maybe color and hide some embryos of your own, or steal some of the hidden embryos you find, throwing off the count of the zombie worshipers. Roast up a nice pig and stuff yourself to the gills (or whatever part of your throat is a remnant of when your ancestors had gills) and laze around for the afternoon.

Just make sure you keep an eye on how many zombie followers may be around you. The difference between a "group" and a "horde" is often not easy to discern. Have fun today, but remember to play it safe and always know where the nearest shopping mall is in your area.

April 23, 2011

Privacy Department

Track Me if you Can

Everyone is all aflutter about the news that Steve Jobs knows where you have been. Since that Earth-shattering bit of news, a lot of bloggers and reporters have pointed out how other software within the iPhone can do the same thing without the user realizing it, and how the Android devices do this as well. Greg Laden has a good summary of these articles in his post iKnowwhatyoudidlastsummer.

To be blunt, people being tracked in their everyday lives is nothing particularly new. I'm happy that this has made a splash in the mass media since it's a situation that has been increasing in prevalence without major notice until now. When I teach IT security, I always spend some time covering privacy issues as well, and have discussed tracking issues regularly for fifteen years now.

A common thought problem I would often give to my students is to plan a cross country road trip in such a way that they could not be tracked. Fifteen years ago this was an interesting problem that forced people to think about how they interacted with a variety of databases. Today, it's a more difficult proposition to even accomplish.

Even before the advent of modern smart phones, people have been automatically tracked. When you use your debit or credit card, the bank has a primitive tracking record of your movements. The more you use it, the better the tracking. So, before leaving on a hypothetical un-tracked trip, you need to remember to leave these cards at home. You will need to work with cash. If you don't want to tip your bank off to your trip, you need to collect the cash in advance, a little at a time. It may also be a good idea to give your cards to a trusted friend so there is local activity on them while you are away, electronically geo-tagging you to your home town.

You can't just leave your smart phone at home; you will need to leave any cell phone behind. Cell phones have been tracked since the very first cell phone. Cell phones work by having the towers (and thus cell companies) track the phones. When you first turn on your phone, it sends a message out. Any nearby towers receive that signal, which then talk to a computer at the company. The tower with the strongest signal (as well as reasonably bandwidth, consistent signal, and other factors) will be granted sole authority over your phone. This process is periodically repeated in case you move. The cell company must always know which tower to direct a call through to get to your phone.

Ten years ago the cell companies swore to us on a stack of their own quarterly reports that this tracking data was not stored in any reasonably permanent way due to the amount of data and cost of storage. I haven't heard much about this as the cost of storage has plummeted, but I was always leery of the argument since it was based upon no compression of data that is easily compressed anyway. After 9/11 there was a lot of discussion about phone companies not destroying data that had been previously been destroyed. The problem now, of course, is finding out what data is actually stored today since that information is considered national security.

The difference with a modern smart phone is the introduction of a GPS chip that can provide better accuracy of your location. Still, accuracy of tower-only location services has gotten so good that several years ago governments began requiring cell phone companies to upgrade all of their towers so they can triangulate your position (using signals from multiple towers) to better coordinate emergency response when you call 911. While this works great when you get into an accident and want the government to find you, but it also means you can be tracked at all times to a surprising level of accuracy.

So, you will need to stop your phone from even communicating with a cell tower even if it's not a smart GPS-enabled phone. You can turn it off, but I never trust computers that have to monitor for a key press to be truly "off". You can remove the battery (assuming that's an easy thing to do). You could tightly wrap the phone in aluminum foil, then drop it in a Mylar bag. Or, I suppose, you could drop it in a river and walk away, which is probably the most satisfying way to stop a cell phone from tracking you.

Now, ready for your trip? Not quite yet.

Does your car have a tracking device and cell phone secretly stashed away behind a door panel? If it does, it may not mean you have an enemy agent in a black helicopter tracking your every move, it may just mean you have OnStar, or a similar system, installed by the auto manufacturer. That system is, basically, a tracking device attached to a cell phone integrated with your car's computer system. You should be able to locate the fuse which powers that module and remove it, or, if you are really paranoid, dismantle the panel it's mounted under and chuck it into the same river as your cell phone.

Now it's time to plan your route, and this is where things get complex.

If you live in a major city, especially Chicago or London, it can be difficult to find a route out of town where your license plate will not be recorded as you pass through an intersection. Many early red-light cameras would only take pictures when triggered by sensors, yet simple observation shows that such sensors are often triggered even when no one is running a light, such as when people turn right on red, or go over a sensor when turning left. In addition to that, many intersections now have cameras that simply record all traffic flow at all times. You need to avoid all such intersections.

The camera problem is made worse by projects such as the Chicago OEMC initiative which links private cameras into the Chicago Office of Emergency Management and Communications system for recording and monitoring. Even if you trust that your local 7-11 will destroy its security recordings, those same recordings may be saved by the government automatically.

On your trip toll roads, obviously, are a very bad idea. Even if you threw your toll authority Radio Frequency ID transceiver into the same river after your cell phone, cameras record every license plate passing through every toll plaza. By the way, if you ever want to prove your spouse was cheating on you, or they are a bad parent by working too late, you can subpoena their toll records for evidence.

Off the toll ways (and major expressways which may have traffic cameras, though the older systems don't have the resolution for picking up license plates), you need to be careful about any city, town or county you pass through with cameras. They are now so prevalent, you most likely need to do scouting trips to find a clear route.

Once you have arrived, you may be able to walk around anonymously for now. If it's in a big city, you can leave your car somewhere (Where? That's another problem) and use taxis. At the moment you don't really have to worry about automatic facial identification too much. While the technology is certainly impressive, unless someone has a good picture of your face and is specifically looking for you, such system won't be a help. They can find matches for specific people, but, as of yet, can't just identify all people passing in front of them.

One last piece of advice is to make sure you don't use your supermarket loyalty card when buying an apple in your destination city. Of course loyalty cards are a whole new privacy problem in themselves.

Ready for the return trip or do you just want to follow your cell phone into the river?

April 19, 2011

Science Department

It's a Convoy!

Yesterday NASA awarded development grants to four corporations for development of human-rated space transportation systems (spaceships). Here are the big winners:

$22 million went to Blue Origin, best known for its intricately detailed corporate logo (as well as its founder, Jeff Bezos of Amazon.com fame) which has a creative vertical take-off and landing system which is very science-fictiony, called New Shepard, which they plan on ramping up from a sub-orbital launch vehicle into a full-scale orbital system.

$80 million goes to Sierra Nevada Corporation for their Dream Chaser vehicle, which is kind of a small space shuttle that doesn't need a custom launch system.

$92.3 million is slated for Boeing, the company that a few short years ago was claiming that space transportation systems could never be privatized and could only work when on a cost-plus government contract. (To be fair, they blew a lot of money a decade or so ago when they did R&D on a system that never got off the ground, so management was understandable gun-shy.) They changed their mind when they found out they could get grants for developing a new system and saw that other companies were already taking the lead. They have an impressive 7-man crew capsule based on the concept of scaling up older, proven designs.

$75 million for SpaceX, which has been in the news a lot lately for their very cool and successful launches of their Falcon series of vehicles. Unlike the other firms, SpaceX is keeping their efforts very much in the public view, which is kid of gutsy. Brand new rocket systems fail on their debut launch 40% of the time, but the Falcon 9 had two successful launches in a row. That's pretty exciting in itself. They plan on mating that to their Dragon 7-man capsule for a complete system. The other designs mentioned here will rely upon an existing launch system (such as a human-flight certified verson of the Atlas booster), but SpaceX is counting on having a totally new system which is engineered with efficiency and safety in mind from the start.

In September they plan on launching another Falcon 9 with test satellites which will approach the International Space Station, followed quickly a month later with their first actual cargo delivery to the station.

Notable in its absence is any money for the joint Liberty project from ATK (which makes the Space Shuttle solid rocket boosters) and Arianespace which would have placed the European Ariane 5 booster on top of an extended Shuttle SRB.  The basic idea there was to take two very proven technologies and marry them into a vehicle that could launch humans into orbit. I had been figuring them as a shoe-in for some of this second round of financing from NASA because of that. Maybe they can still get some private financing to keep this interesting project going. They plan on proceeding with development even without NASA money.

Overall I'm please that this part of the Augustine Commission's plan is coming along. When the Shuttle Transportation System was conceived it was pitched as a "space truck" idea. The Shuttle was meant to have a fast turn-around, and be cheap to operate. In reality it was just too complex to accomplish such goals. The reason NASA had to try was that no one else in the world was capable of attempting such a system. Much has been learned operating the system, and the knowledge has been passed into the marketplace.

The comparison used to support privatization of launch-to-orbit systems is that of the early days of aviation. To help spur the commercial aircraft industry, the US government guaranteed contracts in the form of air mail so that companies knew they would have a customer. In the same way, NASA is now guaranteeing future contracts to deliver supplies and crews to low Earth orbit.

I honestly think that private companies can now take up the reigns of operating a space trucking company. NASA can get back to focusing on what it is best at, which is doing things that have never been done before, like figuring out how to make CB radios work across interplanetary distances.

Entertainment Department

A Sad Gray Day in Geek City

It's a gray, rainy day in Chicago and somehow that's fitting my mood right now. Elisabeth Sladen (aka Sarah Jane Smith) died after a battle with cancer today.

As a kid I had a crush on Sarah Jane. Heck, I had a crush on her as an adult when I saw her again in the new Doctor Who series just a few years back. I understand an actress is not the character she plays, yet I can't help feeling a loss even though I know little about Elisabeth Sladen. The character she portrayed was an intelligent, energetic and outgoing woman who could hold her own with various incarnations of The Doctor. It was hard not to admire her.

April 12, 2011

Art Department

The Museum on the Moon

Rounding out the day's triple header of space related topics, I'd like to point you to the post MOON ARTS, PART ONE by Claire L. Evans. I've heard many, many little known anecdotes about the American space program, yet both of the stories there had managed to evade my notice until now.

(I suppose that link MAY be considered Not Safe for Work by some puritanical standards.)

Bitching and Moaning Department

Chicago Doesn't Get a Space Shuttle

By now everyone must have heard the big news of the day. (OK, the big news in my world.) Chicago will not be getting one of the retired Space Shuttles.

Discovery will go to the National Air and Space Museum's Udvar-Hazy Center in Virginia, which is certainly reasonable. They already have the Enterprise (named after the Starship Enterprise after a successful campaign by fans of the Star Trek series) which never went into space, but was used in landing and flight tests. Enterprise will now go to the Intrepid Museum in New York City. 

Atlantis will go to the Kennedy Space Center in Florida and Endeavour is headed for the California Science Center in Los Angeles.

As I say, the NASM certainly must have one, but why put three shuttles on the east coast? The retired shuttles should be somewhat geographically distributed. While the proposal by Chicago's Adler Planetarium was weak (focusing on the architecture of the new building rather than the display of the shuttle) the New York proposal wasn't any better. Besides, if you are in New York and want to see a shuttle, a day trip to Virginia isn't that difficult.

As for Florida, I must say I never saw that choice coming despite many who declared it to be obvious. The KSC is where you can go to watch the actual current space systems being launched. They don't need to display the past systems as well. Houston would have been a more logical choice if NASA wanted to keep one shuttle for display at a NASA facility.

So, if you are stuck out anywhere in the middle of the country, you have to take a few days off and travel a significant distance if you want to see a real shuttle up close and in person.

OK, enough ranting about a topic of interest only to me and six other people in the world. Sorry...

History Department

Yuri Gagarin and the War on Terror

Fifty years ago today Yuri Gagarin became the first human to venture into space. What an adventure by a true hero! I've heard great things about the book Starman: The Truth Behind the Legend of Yuri Gagarin. I wish it would come out in e-book format.

An inspiring quote attributed to Gagarin is:

"I saw for the first time the earth's shape. I could easily see the shores of continents, islands, great rivers, folds of the terrain, large bodies of water. The horizon is dark blue, smoothly turning to black. . . the feelings which filled me I can express with one word--joy."

For more information about what it must be like to orbit Earth, check out Ethan Siegel's Orbiting Earth 101: What You'd See / What You'd Do.

Given the propaganda uses of both Soviet and American astronauts, many stories about Gagarin and quotes from him are apocryphal. I'm sure many are true as well. Either way, my favorite Gagarin quote is:

"I looked and looked but I didn't see God."

It was a message from the hero of an officially atheist nation directed towards America which, at the time, was busy differentiating itself from the USSR by promoting Christianity as part of the Cold War. America had just added the words "under God" to the pledge of allegiance seven years earlier in 1954, and adopted the official motto "In God We Trust" in 1956. That motto had first been placed on some American coinage to introduce the notion that God was on our side during the Civil War. Starting in 1957 all paper money started to printed with that motto as well.

Previous to that, our money and mottos tended to be remarkably deity-free, embracing the notion of a secular state. Benjamin Franklin supposedly designed our first penny with the motto "Mind Your Business" in it which was also used as the design for the Continental Dollar. The motto "We Are One" was also incorporated into the designs of money at that time, followed by "E pluribus unum" after ratification of the Constitution.

War, though, seems to breed insecurity and fear, which apparently sends Americans running to God. Laws are adopted in these times of war which otherwise wouldn't have been allowed. The Americans of 1865 understood the Establishment Clause, yet chose to ignore it because they were afraid and insecure while the nation was at war and in peril. The rush to God became even more extreme in the 1950's during the Cold War. States started forcing all children to openly pray to the Christian God. The official public school prayer in New York State was

"Almighty God, we acknowledge our dependence upon Thee, and we beg Thy blessings upon us, our parents, our teachers and our Country."

Following those wars, however, we never seem to fully shed the unconstitutional trappings adopted in those times of crisis. The Cold War, after all, dragged on for 40 years. Americans couldn't let their guards down for two generations. By the third generation after the start of the war few Americans remember that America didn't always have a Christian government, but was, in fact, founded as a secular nation and operated as a secular nation (except in times of war).

We have now reached the point where the Supreme Court has decided that the phrase "In God We Trust" is secular and not religious. If that's the case, perhaps we should change the motto of the United States of America to "In Gods We Trust". That is, after all, a more accurate secular phrase. Somehow I'm guessing that the most religious people in the nation would complain about such a change the most. That alone should be enough to demonstrate that the phrase is indeed religious and then, maybe, we can get rid of it.

But that won't happen because we are at war. It's once again time for all fearful and insecure Americans to look to God to smite our enemies. Never mind that this Forever War will last longer than the Cold War; the people are afraid and need their God running the country, not mere mortals. The problem is that not every American has the same God or, indeed, any god at all.

If only some really smart people would have thought to create a secular government and constitution that protected all citizens by preventing the government from respecting the establishment of any religion while still allowing the practice of all religions in the nation. Our founding fathers must have been idiots if they couldn't have come up with an idea like that. Maybe we should add an amendment to the US Constitution along those lines.

Oops, I forgot about the Forever War.

April 5, 2011

Free Speech Department

Burning Books is So 20th Century

Let me get this out of the way in the first paragraph: Terry Jones of Qur'an burning fame is a bigoted fool. He's a bigoted fool not because he burned his copy of the Qur'an, but because he hates people simply because they don't worship the same God he does in a similar enough way. What a tool!

The number of people (and legislators) over-reacting to this incident, however seems to have reached an intensity I haven't seen before. I'm hoping it will die down without any further stupid actions, but, baring another nuclear meltdown somewhere soon, I'm concerned it will not.

I know I'm preaching to the choir here about free speech, so I'll skip the lessons about the Heckler's Veto and importance of protecting unpopular speech beyond simply reaffirming that popular speech rarely needs protection in a democracy.

One element in this story that seems to have been neglected in the rush to ban such speech is that the original demonstrations over the Qur'an in Afghanistan were small and peaceful; similar to the kinds of protests I see in Chicago over immigration policies. The trigger that seems to have set off the violence and killings is President Hamid Karzai deciding to use the Qur'an burning in a speech of his as a political tool. It seems he wanted to show how much he cares about some of the fundamentalists in his country.

The reaction to that was, apparently, the Taliban deciding to cash in politically as well, and they joined one of the peaceful marches, broke off from the main group, and committed pre-meditated murderous acts. Their motive was, almost certainly, a political reaction to Karzai's stumping.

The incident in Afghanistan seems to have been far more about politics than religion.

Now we cut to the reaction in America. Senator Reid would like to start Congressional hearings to look into ways he can protect people in other nations by banning speech in America. Senator Graham would like to invoke wartime powers (in our Forever War) to directly ban speech which could "inspire the enemy". When can I expect politicians to start accusing each other of being soft on book burnings?

The reaction in America seems to be far more about politics than religion.

Let's pretend, however, that this really is all about religion and free expression. There seem to be a few different arguments out in the community about why this type of speech should be banned. They all seem flawed. The problem is that I'm not a Constitutional scholar, and may have some very wrong ideas about free speech, so I'll go over some of the common arguments I've been seeing and present my understanding of them even though I may be wrong. If anyone knows better, please enlighten me in the comments.

The most common argument I see is that America "restricts" speech anyway all the time, so we don't really have free speech, so why are you complaining about just one more restriction in the name of saving lives? The basic problem with this argument is that there is a difference between restricting speech and banning speech. As far as I can tell (not being a Constitutional Scholar) is that America only outright bans one type of speech, regardless of time or place. You cannot directly incite violence. Period.

Some commentators have latched onto this idea and simply accuse Jones of incitement and proceed to call for banning of such speech on the same grounds. I consider this to be a most insidious and worrisome argument. If Congress were to ban speech by broadening the definition of incitement, we could run head first into the problems of the Heckler's Veto, but I fear it would be used simply to ban speech the majority considers unpopular. I truly fear the majority in a democracy, for they can be more difficult to overthrow than a dictator.

Beyond incitement, though, I can't think of any other speech that is outright banned in America. There is a variety of restrictions, but not a banning of speech beyond incitement. I suppose libel would be the speech with the most restrictions that is not outright banned. Even so, as I understand it, there are situations where libel is allowed, or perhaps isn't legally called libel in America. I know it's nearly impossible to stop someone from knowingly lying about a public figure, such as a celebrity or politician. I wonder if this blog is enough for me to be considered a "public figure". I imagine there are legal debates going on right now about how that definition is changing in the new media.

Another form of speech that seems to be cited as heavily restricted is when conspiring to commit a crime. In this case it is not the speech that is illegal but the conspiracy. From what I have read, the speech is the evidence used to prove conspiracy. The situation and intent is all important here as Rod Blagojevich has been trying to prove. If you say the words in jest, they are not evidence of a conspiracy.

That leaves the various "time and place" restrictions. The thought experiment generally cited is the classic "yelling 'Fire!' in a crowded theater". The speech "Fire!" is not banned in America. The time and place of that speech makes creating the ensuing dangerous panic illegal.*

The other time and place restrictions such as getting your bullhorn out at 3:00 am in front of a hospital are, just like the "yelling fire" example, not banning speech, but placing reasonable restrictions on speech. The same speech is allowed in most places at most times. Saying you want to restrict burning holy books just like America restricts people from yelling "fire" is not at all the same. You can yell "Fire!" outside of the theater, or even inside when the theater is not crowded. Banning book burnings is not a time and place restriction.

In conclusion, let me reiterate a point I've made before. It's just a friggin' book! It's paper, ink and some binding material. The words and ideas within cannot be destroyed by burning a copy of a book. I once suggested the correct reaction to such situations was to burn the holy books of as many religions as possible all at once to demonstrate this fact as well as show that it's not just about religious penis envy.

I now realize, however, that's so 20th century. We should instead organize a mass deletion of holy e-books. I want to not just delete them, however, since I know that all of the words will still exist. We need to destroy those magnetic bits so they can't be reconstructed. On PC's it will be easy to download software to overwrite that Bible with random electronic signals, utterly destroying that copy forever. In other e-book devices you may need to erase that Qur'an then upload new, larger books in its place, then delete that and repeat enough times to make the original words vanish into digital oblivion.

Buddhavacana, Norse eddas, the Four Books of Confucianism, the Book of Enoch, the Tabula Cortonensis and many, many more. Let's get digital copies and erase them en masse! Mash those Holy Ones and Zeros together with such a fury that even the NSA couldn't put them back in any semblance of order. Grab your old book reader loaded with all these texts and turn on that giant electro magnet you built years ago but never had a use for! Listen to that glorious buzz as the memory chips are hopelessly cleansed of Bronze Age rituals and misogynistic rules!

What the world needs now is a Holy E-Book Demolition Party! Can you still book Comiskey Park?


*By the way, I think it's time for the scholars to update that thought experiment. Yelling "Fire!" in a crowded theater today would, most likely, just result in a head full of popcorn and getting yelled at to sit down and shut up. The fire codes are so good (not saying they couldn't be improved at all) that most people would no longer be panicked by such a statement barring secondary indications of a conflagration such as smoke and a fire alarm going off. Perhaps we can use "Yelling 'Muslim!' in a crowded Tea Party Convention".

January 19, 2011

Crime and Punishment Department

My Civic Duty to Intervene

A depressing story about a group of thirteen-year-olds who allegedly strong armed another thirteen-year-old to rob an iPhone contained what I considered to be a strange additional fact in the case. An 18-year-old "was charged with disorderly conduct after police said he was present at the time of the robbery and did nothing to stop it."

So, just what is my civic duty to intervene in a violent struggle I witness on the street? If I do intervene, and it turns out I was wrong about the perceived facts, do I get immunity from prosecution for violating the rights of the alleged perpetrators? Was I supposed to receive training for this in public school? (Perhaps I was absent that day....)

November 16, 2010

Creeping Totalitarianism Department

Police State Security Meets Puritan Morality

For almost a decade we have had heavy-handed rights abuses all in the name of keeping people safe from threats which kill far fewer people than traffic accidents do each year. We allow the files on your laptop to be perused with no cause. We take for granted that people can be detained indefinitely without being tried or even accused of a crime. The United States now condones tortuous acts, which we ourselves once prosecuted others for, as normal. We think it's OK to listen in on private conversations of anyone without any judicial review at all. The American public accepts all this, and more, in the name of safety.

But there is something that your average American, bred with a history of puritan ethics, just wont stand for. That is allowing someone else to either see or touch your private parts.

I understand this on an intellectual level, from a sociological perspective, yet am still gravely disappointed by it. Personally, if someone wants to look at me naked before getting on an airplane, I really don't mind. They won't enjoy it, but it won't bother me. If someone would like to fondle my family jewels while waiting at an airport, they can give it a go. In fact, I know people who would pay someone to do that while still in the airport parking lot.

I suppose it does make a difference that I'm not sought out by GQ as a male model, and that when you pay for an "aggressive pat down" you get to chose who does it. But again, these are things that just wouldn't bother me that much, especially when compared to getting arrested and detained without warrant or trial.

Of course, I've never been a particularly good Protestant. I don't have the ingrained moral outrage at pornography, prostitution, revealing swim wear at the beach, or anything else that reminds us we are humans who, on occasion, have sex.

So let me join the masses of people who are complaining about the new invasive full-body scans and new aggressive pat down policies now being used by the TSA. I'm not complaining about these new systems, though. I'm complaining about all of the Americans who couldn't be bothered to complain about their freedoms being wrenched away in the name of security, yet can't overcome their moral outrage at being seen naked in a fuzzy, monochrome image by a bored security worker before getting on an airplane.

The new security scans do, at least, provide one good service to the country. We will finally be able to see (or feel) if the American citizen can grow a set of balls.

November 10, 2010

Crime and Punishment Department

No-Knock Warrants for Gambling

No-knock warrants are dangerous, lazy, and stupid. The usual excuse for them is they are necessary to protect the arresting officers. Of course, we know this to be a lame excuse. In civilized parts of the world police will often phone the suspect telling him he is surrounded and to come out of the house. In less civilized parts of the world, like Afghanistan, bull horns are used instead of phones. In America the police prefer to just bash the door down while pretending to be special forces troops.

The real reason for the no-knock warrant is, in the case of drug raids, that it takes the place of an investigation. The raid is the investigation and all of the evidence needed for the trial will be gathered as a result of the raid. It's much easier and more efficient to just act on any tips you get and immediately raid the house to see if there was any truth to the tip. You can't phone the dangerous criminals asking them to come out since that gives them time to flush the evidence down the toilet. Since there was no investigation other than the raid, you need to go in guns blazing so the suspect doesn't have time to get rid of the only evidence the police will get. Lazy, because it replaces a complex investigation of allegations, dangerous, because the situation becomes chaotic and unpredictable, and stupid because there are better ways to deal with the situation.

What, however, is the reason for no-knock gambling warrants? Last week, in South Carolina, a raid on a two-bit poker game went bad and two people were shot. From the sound of it, this happens regularly. The reason for the warrent is obvious; the police want to sieze the money (in the case cited the police netted about $2,500! Woo Hoo!). But why the no-knock warrant? Were the suspects going to flush the poker machines and chips down the toilet?

Maybe I need to give this some more thought. Right now the only reason I can think for such an action is that the police just get a kick out of conducting no-knock raids, playing John Rambo, pretending to be a Green Beret. I'm genunily open to other suggestions here. It's not to keep officers safe, and it's obviously not to keep suspects safe. If anyone else has some experience here, please do enlighten me.

(Hat tip: Ed Brayton)

November 9, 2010

Creeping Totalitarianism Department

Bush Was Confused About Job Description

After reading some of the comments from GW's recent NBC interview, I understand better the unconstitutional responses to 9/11 America is still suffering under. When questioned about the use of torture Bush's response was:

"I will tell you this: using those techniques saved lives. My job was to protect America. And I did."

We really need to make it more clear when we hire a president just what the job description is. Maybe we need to publish it in the want ads of various newspapers around the country before we accept any applications. Right at the top should be the oath they will be expected to take:

I do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will faithfully execute the office of President of the United States, and will to the best of my ability, preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States.

I can understand when the newly hired president recites that oath that maybe they would forget the details. After all, inauguration day is a big event and they have parties to go to all afternoon and evening. You get a little drunk and wake up the next morning unable to remember everything you did or said the previous day.

From now on we should make the job description clear right up front when advertising the opening.

October 30, 2010

Immigration Department

Illegal Aliens to be Welcomed in Denver

With all of the bat-shit crazy, radical fear mongering about how illegal aliens will destroy our great Christian nation, Denver may actually pass a ballot initiative welcoming them with open arms. Or tentacles, maybe. The Wall Street Journal has an article all about it. (Sorry, it may be behind a pay wall.)

Ballot Initiative 300 would require the city to set up an Extraterrestrial Affairs Commission, stocked with Ph.D. scientists, to "ensure the health, safety and cultural awareness of Denver residents" when it comes to future contact "with extraterrestrial intelligent beings or their vehicles."

Jeff Peckman (no relation to Walter Peck, as far as I know), who is the mastermind behind the initiative considers this to be a jobs program. Once the aliens (who he is sure have been visiting Earth for some time already) know they are welcome in Denver, they will show themselves and all of the great engineers and scientists of the world will come to the city so they can start to work out how the alien technologies function. Why is Denver the best location for this ambassadorial effort? According to Mr. Peckman:

The city is perched a mile above sea level, so why wouldn't travelers from a distant galaxy stop here first?

But don't worry, there is a voice of sanity led by the main opposition group to the initiative.

They face an impassioned opposition led by Bryan Bonner, who dismisses the unidentified-flying-object buffs as delusional if not outright frauds.

One thing about Mr. Bonner: He spends his spare time crawling through spooky spaces, deploying remote digital thermometers, seismographs, infrared cameras, electromagnetic field detectors and Nerf balls in pursuit of evidence of the paranormal. He is, in short, a ghost hunter.

And he has rallied his colleagues at the Rocky Mountain Paranormal Research Society to fight Initiative 300 as an embarrassment to science--and to Denver.

Yes. The voice of reason and sanity is coming from ghost hunters who spend their time, when not fighting the alien hunters (the people looking for ET, not the Minuteman Project people, that is), taking pictures of EMF fields and trying to create lens distortions in their out-of-focus photos. The basic premise of their argument is that hunting for UFOs is obviously stupid while ghost hunting is obviously smart.

Mr. Bonner, the ghost hunter, is fighting back with his own website asserting that "Peckman and his 'little green people' are not representative of the people of Denver."

"Little green people," Mr. Peckman responds with outrage, is a "racial slur."

You just can't make up stuff like this.

October 27, 2010

Blogosphere Department

Scholarship for a Nerd

Christie Wilcox writes one of my favorite blogs, Observations of a Nerd, and is hoping to win a $10,000 scholarship for her graduate studies. She's an excellent blogger and scientist. Over the past week she had some great articles on evolution which you should check out.

Her competition looks lame, yet she was running behind in the polls when I voted for her. Please give her a hand and vote for Christie Wilcox! (Consider it practice for next Tuesday.)

October 26, 2010

Chicago News Department

Chicago Police Hold City Hostage

Two cops have filed a libel suit against the Chicago Police Superintendent, Jody Weis, because they were investigated for beating a handcuffed teenager.

Though Weis never identified Meuris and Vanna by name to the news media, he published their names in an internal communication sent to others in the Police Department, said their attorney, Daniel Herbert.

How is an investigation of officers to take place if no one is allowed to mention their names in any internal communications? This would be a laughable, frivolous suit if it weren't for the message being sent by the officers.

Don't investigate us, under any circumstances, for anything. Or else.

The cops here have been getting bolder in their reaction to being investigated for breaking the law themselves. Many have been threatening the citizens saying that they will not do their jobs, and will leave the city to the criminals if the investigations don't stop. These are the cops who protested for their right to beat up people handcuffed to wheelchairs. Now they are suing the superintendent for nothing more than investigating brutality accusations.

No longer are they satisfied with simple cover ups and whitewashes. They never want an investigation to begin at all.

These are armed thugs, holding our city hostage, and I'm sick of it.

Rahm Emanuel has been running around Chicago asking people about issues for the mayoral election. He's going to make education a key issue. I think he should make police reform a priority. If you happen to catch Rahm at an event, tell him you are sick of the Chicago police holding the citizens hostage. Tell him you want to see some real reform in the department for once.

There have been plenty of studies over the decades with good ideas, so it's not hard to find out what needs to be done. There are two things I would like to see done right away to help.

All officers need to wear cameras that record any interaction with citizens. Richard II loves to go to Europe to find new ideas for Chicago. He liked all of the cameras in London watching the citizens there (despite the fact they were found not to be cost effective) yet never managed the courage to suggest we mount cameras on police officers as they now do in the UK.

I guess he was afraid of what the cops would do to him if he suggested such a thing. If every interaction was recorded by the police, the city could potentially save millions of dollars now spent in lawsuits over false abuse claims. As it is now, who wouldn't believe a citizen who claimed they were abused by a Chicago cop? Apparently it's hard for city attorneys to find twelve people at a time not willing to believe such claims.

Head-cams would quickly pay for themselves many times over, helping to balance the city budget. False claims would be minimized and bad cops would be more reticent to abuse their powers.

Another reform that often appears in independent studies is a requirement that all police have a bachelor's degree. On one level, the systems used by modern police forces are complex and require a better educated person. Better educated police officers should be more effective police officers. Beyond this obvious advantage, though, are the studies showing that better educated officers are less likely to abuse their authority.

Other reforms would be welcome and needed, but, as a first step, these two changes would go a long way towards a better police force in Chicago.

Chicago citizens are being held hostage. I guess we need a hostage negotiator. I wonder who that could be?

October 25, 2010

Chicago News Department

How to Spin a Police Involved Accident

I just spotted an article about a women hit by a Chicago Police vehicle this morning. (This site often changes the text of their articles several times. Here's how it reads as of 16:30 CDT):

A woman in her 60s was injured this morning after she was struck by a Chicago police vehicle in the Albany Park neighborhood, officials said.

The accident happened about 6:17 a.m. at the intersection of Kedzie and Montrose Avenues, said Chicago Police News Affairs Officer Darryl Baety.

The police vehicle was responding to a "high priority" call involving a sexual assault in progress, Baety said. Baety did not know if the vehicle's emergency lights were activated.

The woman sustained lacerations and bruises to her head and was taken to St. Francis Hospital in Evanston, Baety said.

The woman's condition was not available.

Chicago Police News Affairs Officer Darryl Baety's pants are on fire.

In Baety's world, apparently, police officers never make mistakes or have accidents. So, how do you spin an accident to make it look like it was the victim's fault? Just tell everyone that the officer was responding to a "high priority" call involving a sexual assault in progress. After all, who could blame the cop for accidentally hitting an elderly lady as long as he was rushing to protect a poor helpless women who, at that very moment, was being violently raped!

Unfortunately, that's not what happened in the real world.

There was, in point of fact, a low priority call about a man exposing himself near a McDonald's. Here's a transcription of the call from the dispatcher to the officers who were to respond:

A sex offense 4546 Kedzie. 4546 Kedzie, at the McDonalds.

Caller says the police were out earlier for a male Hispanic who was naked and, uh, exposing himself out in front of the McDonalds.

The guy is back. He's standing near the bushes on the side of the building, keeps coming back.

The caller, [caller's name], would like to speak with you; says she can point him out.

A minute or so later the officer involved in the accident called in to report it and request an ambulance "ASAP".

Accidents happen. People will want to place blame. Others involved will want to divert blame. Eventually, if someone wants to know, they will get official transcriptions and collect statements from witnesses. I'm pretty sure you can get a clear picture, eventually, of just what happened.

By then, however, the story will have blown over and most of the public will not care. For now, what is important to the Police News Affairs Office, is making sure that the CPD looks good. The police don't make mistakes, and they will spin any and every incident to demonstrate that.

Can anyone remind me why many people don't trust the police anymore?

October 23, 2010

Science Department

That's a Lot of Candles

Today, October 23, is a good day to celebrate the birth of the universe. The question is just how many candles do we need for the cake?

There are some competing theories about the age of the universe. One is based upon observations of, well, the universe.

Scientists have been studying the cosmic background radiation that permeates the universe in every direction and is a remnant of an explosion so large it created all space, time and matter that can be detected either directly or indirectly. Physicists have run the numbers to figure out just how hot that explosion was and have then figured out how long it would take to cool down to the temperature that we now see in this background radiation.

Astronomers have also managed to run tests using observations which show the universe is expanding away in all directions, and even still is accelerating, being pushed outward by a dark energy which can't be seen directly, but which must exist to cause such an acceleration. The cool thing is that such an energy was predicted in the standard model of physics. When the scientists work backwards and calculate how long such an expansion has been going on for, they end up with a dating method for creation.

The age of the universe, as determined by looking at the universe, is approximately 13,750,000,000 years, give or take 170,000,000 years. With better instruments, scientists have been narrowing down the uncertainty in that estimate.

As PZ Myers reminded me this morning, the main competing theory to the age of the universe is not based upon looking at the universe, but instead confines all of its calculations to a single book written by nomadic sheep herders thousands of years ago. The great advantage to this method of dating (as calculated by James Ussher, Church of Ireland Archbishop of Armagh and Primate of All Ireland) is it's accuracy. There is no give-or-take uncertainty using this method. He just took the current date and used the power of subtraction to work his way back through the events in that book to the moment the book says everything was created.

His answer was 23 October, 4004 BCE, 6013 years ago today.

There is no need to develop more accurate instruments to help narrow down the calculations since there are no observations of the universe involved using this method. Cool! As long as you never allow your eyes to waver away from the single book and actually look at the thing you are trying to date, all is well.

I won't tell you which method I place my trust in since I wouldn't want to influence your analysis in any way.

So go out, buy a cake, and celebrate the birth of the universe today! I certainly will. I should warn you, though, that if you are anywhere near Chicago you probably won't be able to get your hands on any candles. I plan on buying a lot of them.

October 22, 2010

Education Department

Amateur Historians

I really enjoy studying history. I've moved around time and the globe delving deeper into Mycenaean influences beyond Greece and studying the nuances of one particular commander who has been maligned in the Battle of Gettysburg. Every time I think I might find some historical event boring, I run into some fascinating element that grabs my attention.

I would never consider myself a professional historian. I would certainly never claim that I was capable of writing a history book for use in a public school.

Just for the fun of it, however, let's say I did write an elementary school history book. No school board would be stupid enough to buy it, right? I suppose that would depend upon what the school board wanted history to be.

In Virginia, as in most of the country, school boards are popularity contests that have virtually nothing to do with academics. They were so eager to rewrite the history of the US Civil War, they adopted a school history book written not by a historian, but by Joy Masoff who wrote the "correct" history and backed the position up with links to something she happened to run across on an Internet website. She did no fact checking. She didn't look into the claims to see where they got their "facts". It's on the Internet, so it must be true! (*If a student of mine tried something like that on a term paper, I would have them rewrite it.)

Then the school board, which managed to find the history it happened to like, didn't bother to run it past any actual historians. After all, it's written in a book, it must be true!

Since it looks like I'll have some spare time away from Windy Investments, perhaps I should write history books. The first step will be finding out what some school board would like to hear. The rest is easy. Just Google for the information and quote the first source I find.


----------------------
* The Internet is a poor to fair resource for scientific research, but has been getting better. Google Scholar allows me to find materials that, just a few years ago, would have required out-of-state trips to university libraries. No one in their right mind, however, would take a basic Google search and assume that all of the results are Gospel.

October 21, 2010

Economics Department

Windy Investments

Mark's review of Michael Lewis's The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine sounds interesting. I generally find finance and economics difficult to read about, but I may give the book a go.

From the sound of it, the author and I seem to have a couple of similar arguments about what is wrong with the efficient market. One premise I like to start with is that efficient markets require free and open knowledge of the marketplace. This is the reason corporations and, pretty much anything you can invest in, have reams of information regularly produced and distributed as mandated by the SEC.

In business school, intro finance courses spend most of their time explaining how to read all of these reports. (If they went beyond that, I must have fallen asleep by that point in the lectures.) In theory, this is what keeps everyone in the marketplace aware of what is going on, and allows the efficient market to work. I believe this system has been running into trouble for a couple of reasons.

One is touched upon in your description of what Lewis calls fraud. Even when it isn't called fraud, fudging the numbers in quarterly and annual reports seems to be standard operating procedure these days. If you can't hide the numbers anymore, just spin off a new corporation and hide the numbers there. Much of this seems to be legal, though I would still call it fraud. The purpose is to deceive investors and cloud the reality of the marketplace. You can't do this forever, but people can become millionaires or billionaires in a very short time, so the deception doesn't need to hold for too long. In this respect corporations, and to some extent the markets they are traded in, become like a game of musical chairs. The last investor standing loses. The last investor is often the one who thinks their investment is long term.

"Short term thinking" goes beyond simply not seeing that your investment isn't good in the long run. Short term thinking can be a money-making trading strategy that investors can keep using in the long run. The concept of day trading is based upon catching (very) short term trends. Buy (or short) a stock in the morning, perhaps because you anticipate a reaction from a news item, then sell in the afternoon before the long term impacts can be digested by the market. This sort of very short term view, it seems to me, is starting to become more prevalent in the markets.

I don't mean that there are more and more day traders, but that the entire market is now looking for shorter and shorter returns on investment. When you chat with traders and ask them about their long term investments, you often hear statements like "Sure this is long term. We may even keep it more than a year!" Technology, in particular computer networking, allows for the rapid dissemination of information and traders are treating every week, or even day, as if that were the day quarterly statements for an investment came out. The actual quarterly and annual reports are increasingly becoming nothing more than when you happen to update some of the numbers in your trading model instead of being an indicator of whether you want to keep the investment or not.

As the investment horizon is shortened, this way of thinking must start to become part of the corporate culture as well. After all, ultimately the management of a corporation is working for the investors as represented by the board of directors. Since wealthy individuals need to diversify their investments (to protect against the unpredictability mentioned by Lewis) very few individuals have controlling interest in any major corporation anymore. Large investment funds have replaced the individual and now have the influence to affect corporate management.

Something else I was taught in graduate business school, way back in the ancient mists of time, was that top corporate management was mainly supposed to concern itself with the far future of the firm. They were to think 10 to 20 years into the future, or even beyond. Wealthy individual investors in the past often shared this view and often hoped to maintain their investment for decades. This culture became so ingrained that business schools taught that top managers should shun any short term projects.

Do you think that there's an investment fund out there today that is capable of thinking of a corporate investment beyond 1 year? Beyond 5 years? Probably not, and, under the free market, they are correct to focus on the short term. Any long term investment will wax and wane over time and anyone who is interested in becoming a millionaire this year will ask why the fund failed to sell before any drop and buy before any gain. The fund will only grow if they pursue a (winning) short term strategy, and the corporations will only get investment funds if they deliver on short term promises. The large-fund controlled board will hire management that can deliver. The market works, so to speak, just not the way that is best for the future.

So yes, I see the fraud (legal and illegal) as a major impediment to the efficient market, but I also see the market working against its own future by an obsessive (valid?) focus on short term returns and trades as enabled by modern computer networks and databases and encouraged by the efficient market itself.

I think we should become fund managers who get paid for transactions. You do have the windyinvestments.com domain reserved, right? The more transactions we make the more money we earn. We need to be sure to tell our clients to never hold onto an investment for more than a week or so...

Of course we probably don't have the seed money for this. With the kind of money we could put together we wouldn't be called fund managers, we would be called loan sharks. Charles Ponzzi had a way around that, but it's only legal if you are deemed to big to fail by the government.

October 16, 2010

War On Drugs Department

Tea Party Ethos Up in Smoke

Attorney General Eric Holder has announced, as expected, that the Department of Justice will not let Proposition 19, which would legalize marijuana in California, stop them from waging the War on Drugs Which Are Less Harmful Than Alcohol and Nicotine in their never ending effort to fill up prisons across the nation. I expected that response from the Feds.

I've been browsing through some Tea Party sites and other forums in California and what I didn't expect was the knee-jerk opposition to Proposition 19 from them. It seems an ideal issue for the Tea Party people. The federal government taking away the rights of the local people of California by imposing big government wasteful spending.

When the Tea Party people speak in generalities I sometimes like their ideas. When they get into specific issues, however, they are repulsive, hypocritical morons.

Environment Department

Mother Nature is a Cold Hearted Bitch

I'm guessing that many of you don't know this, but 2010 was named The Year of Biodiversity by the UN sometime before the year began. I am hoping, though, that you at least know what biodiversity is. When asked to define biodiversity, a recent survey in England, a country known to be more environmentally aware than the US, the number one answer was "some kind of [laundry detergent]".

Sigh...

I'm not a tree-hugger. Like most people I have a certain evolution-programmed empathy for any mammal that has a large head-to-body ratio (which helps members of the species care for babies instead of eating them for their protein), but I honestly can't work up a great deal of empathy for a specific species of spotted owl. The old crying Indian and pictures of baby seals don't cause me to become an environmental activist.

"Mother Nature" has been creating, then wiping out species since the Earth first could sustain self-replicating chains of amino acids. When the first complex lifeforms started to populate the planet, nothing resembling humans could survive. Early life thrived in the noxious atmosphere that would kill us and were so successful that they eventually drowned in their own waste products. They were so successful that they altered the atmosphere of the entire planet and became extinct.

If those early lifeforms had only started an environmental movement, perhaps they could have avoided disaster. They weren't smart enough, however, and Mother Nature (aka The Bitch), allowed them to die off. But other species evolved to thrive in their waste. The ecosystem changed again and still more species evolved. Occasionally The Bitch threw an asteroid at them just for laughs and wiped out even more species, whose niches were quickly filled in with new species.

After one such ecosystem-altering fun ball of destruction from space about 65 million years ago wiped out the most successful species yet, some small mammals evolved to take their place and eventually produced someone capable of blogging about biodiversity.

The Bitch doesn't care any more about us than she cared about the precambrian stromatolites who died breathing in their own waste. I don't care about The Bitch anymore than The Bitch cares about me.

I do, however, care about humans. It goes beyond the instinctual empathy that prevents me from eating babies (despite that being a favorite pastime of atheists). I would like to think that future generations will be better than my generation. I hope that they will learn more about how the universe works, create better arts and literature, boldly go where no one has gone before.

I think you know what I mean.

Accomplishing that, however, requires that we don't let The Bitch wipe us out, and that we don't make the same mistake that those stromatolites made and end up drowning in our own waste. The Bitch doesn't care if we do or not. She will happily fill in with new species who will thrive in the new ecosystem and go happily on her merry way. Damn, she really is cold hearted. I never could understand why so many artists and environmentalists portray her as a kind, motherly entity.

Biodiversity is key to our own survival. One species of spotted owl doesn't matter to us, but wiping out thousands of species, altering entire ecosystems, and changing the environment of the planet we are stuck on does matter to the survival of humans.

Humans, like other species before them, have a bad habit of using up resources and altering their environment faster than can be sustained. Archeology has many examples of this happening in the past, and anthropology is rife with stories about human cultures which managed to destroy themselves with bad environmental policies (like the Easter Island culture).

You don't have to be a tree-hugger to want to do something to help sustain the ecosystem we live in. You just have to have some concern over the future of our own species. We should also try to avoid anything nasty coming down the pike from that cold hearted bitch called Mother Nature.

October 15, 2010

Amusement Department

What OS Did The Matrix Use?

Now we know for sure. The Matrix was originally developed using Linux. Oh sure, it looks all loving and caring now, but plug that box into the Internet, let it read all about socialism and soon enough humanity will be hunted down in our sewer-submarines and end up plugged into Linux controlled wet squishy cocoons while we dream about hot chicks in black leather beating up cops and jumping from building to building.

You have been warned...

October 14, 2010

Health Department

Eradicating a Virus

As all computer geeks know, it's very difficult to wipe out a virus, and I mean eradicating it completely from the world. The fight against real-world viruses, the kind that attack humans and animals, is much, much more difficult. Viruses have evolved into the most abundant type of biological entity on the planet.

The idea of eradicating one sounds like an impossible dream, yet scientists managed to do just that with the smallpox virus, and have repeated the feat a second time now with the rinderpest virus. Rinderpest, a virus that killed almost all of the cattle on the African continent, was eliminated through a combination of creating an easy to use detection kit and making the vaccine widely available.

OK, so it's not the same kind of story as the elimination of smallpox, but it's big news just the same. Smallpox killed almost half a billion people in the 20th century alone before the smallpox vaccine managed to wipe the virus from the planet by 1979. The rinderpest virus killed most of the cattle in Africa, so wiping it out has had a significant impact on the food source for many of the world's poorest people.

The point is that this seemingly impossible feat has been accomplished for a second time in human history thanks to vaccines and science-based medicine. There are a lot of quacks out there who are misleading the public about vaccines for nothing but personal gain, and they are managing to convince far too many people who should know better that vaccines are dangerous and ineffective.

While vaccines do have known side effects for a tiny percentage of people, the scare mongering about them has cause a reduction in vaccine usage around the world (only in the "educated" wealthy parts, ironically) and the increase of human viruses that were once on the verge of being wiped out themselves. It's amazing that modern, educated people would allow Jenny McCarthy to guide them on medical decisions based upon scary stories spread by snake-oil salesmen looking to make a quick buck from worried people.

Modern vaccines are extraordinarily safe and effective. If you haven't already done so, get your flu vaccines for this year. If you have an infant, keep their vaccine schedule up-to-date.  Vaccines are never 100% effective, yet by making sure that nearly everyone is vaccinated scientists are able to do the impossible and wipe viruses (we can use the plural form of that word now!) from the planet.

October 13, 2010

Legal Department

Turkey Tom Lawsuit

It's still October, but it's not too early to get into a Thanksgiving atmosphere. Jimmy John's is suing Halsted Street Deli (a local sandwich shop here in Chicago) over the names of two sandwiches. Jimmy John's uses the sandwich names "Turkey Tom" and "Hunter's Club" while Halsted Street Deli uses "Tom Turkey" and "Hunt Club".

I don't know. I understand that trademarks need to be defended, but just how is it that you can trademark a name like Turkey Tom anyway? Since Tom is the common name for a male turkey, and any turkey sub is likely to have similar ingredients, I just don't see how you can lay claim to any sandwich that uses the words Tom and Turkey in them. The same logic seems to apply to Hunt Club as well.

When Jimmy John's decided to use words that were already commonly associated with their products, it seems as if they were copying an already established common theme and have no right to claim that theme as their own just because they are now a commercial success. When I was involved in a new product design our lawyers advised us to make sure that the names were unique, perhaps making up words not in the language just to be sure we could get a defensible trademark.

If they had used the name "Turkey Jim" I could understand a trademark. Of course then we would be reading about Jimmy John's being sued by Slim Jim's over their turkey jerky products.

Since Jimmy John's can't make a decent sandwich, they survive by marketing instead. Perhaps they should focus on making good sandwiches instead of suing their way to profit.

Photography Department

Lightning Photo

I saw this photo of lightning striking the Statue of Liberty and was impressed. It's a really cool photo taken by photographer Jay Fine, but what impressed me was that it took less than two hours and only 80 shots before he got the photo he wanted.

As someone who has spent many hours in the early morning, on the coldest day of the year in Chicago, getting frostbite on a finger, going through hundreds of shots just to get one I liked makes me realize that I need more practice. Or maybe Jay was just having a lucky night.

Eventually, sometime after I lost feeling in at least one fingertip, I got my picture.

Cold_Morning_Cropped.jpg

Saturday, February 18 2006, 8:30 AM
Canon PowerShot SD500

I had actually been hoping to get some nice shots that day in the dawn twilight, but none of them turned out well.

October 8, 2010

War On Drugs Department

They Should Have Rung the Bell

Here's yet another tragic story of an elderly couple terrorized by gangs of local thugs in Chicago.

With her husband already asleep, 84-year-old Anna Jakymek was just turning out the lights when she heard loud noises at the back and front doors about 11:30 p.m.

Her initial thought was that her 89-year old husband had fallen out of bed, but she realized something else was happening when she looked into the front room.

"I see maybe 20 guys come in and see the door knocked open," she said.

The intruders were members of the Cook County sheriff's police gang crimes narcotics unit executing a search warrant at the home on the 5600 block of South Kilbourn Avenue.

They had a warrant for a 23 year old Hispanic male suspected of dealing coke and meth. What they found was an elderly Russian couple who had come to America to escape from the oppressive Soviet Union where people had to live in fear of their government. The Cook Country Sheriff's Police weren't sure if that was just a clever disguise, though, so instead of apologizing for their mistake they trashed the home anyway looking for the couple's stash of drugs. They found some aspirin.

"I didn't believe it was the police. They broke everything. I told them they should have rung the bell."

After mouthing off to the cops like that I'm surprised she wasn't arrested for obstruction and resisting arrest. The police were understandably aggravated since the couple had no pets. With nothing left to break, and nothing to shoot at, the cops left.

...the officer explained they had misinformation, but said his job was over, and he was leaving. They left a copy of the warrant, but he absolved himself of any responsibility for the raid or the damage...

Cook County Sheriff, Tom Dart, is positioning himself to run for Mayor of Chicago. I wonder if he'll be commenting on this incident. I also wonder if his opponents will push for a comment, or if they will just fear being labelled "soft on crime".


UPDATE: The article has been modified and now mentions that the couple is Ukrainian, not Russian, and has added a picture of the couple. I wonder which one the police thought was the 23 year old Hispanic man they were looking for. The story also added a comment by a police spokesman:

"As soon as we entered the home, we knew this couple was not involved in the activity alleged"

But they still decided to trash the house anyway.

October 7, 2010

Freedom Department

Pledge Allegiance or Go to Jail

I've always been a bit wary of extremely overt flag-waving patriots. Maybe it's just a reaction I have after watching the hoards of people forced to wave Soviet flags while at gunpoint, or the coerced crowds joining in the celebrations of Mao's Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution by furiously whipping little Chinese flags to and fro.

Some of those people were, I'm sure, genuinely proud of their country and were just expressing that pride enthusiastically. For many, however, it was just an empty action forced upon them by ruthless people in positions of authority under threat of being sent to jail for their lack of patriotic support.

Fortunately we don't have such dictators in the United States of America. Or so I thought.

In Tupelo Mississippi Judge Talmadge Littlejohn threw an attorney in jail for refusing the recite the Pledge of Allegiance. As attorney Danny Lampley put it:

"He said, 'please stand for the pledge.'  Of course, we were all standing anyway because the judge had just come in - it's a matter of courtesy. I remained standing with my hands by my side," Lampley said.

The attorney told WTVA News he waited for everyone to finish the pledge. Lampley said when it was over the judge asked him to say it. He refused, and that is when the judge held him in contempt.

Forcing people to pledge allegiance, or to energetically wave tiny flags, does not create a nation of patriots. I wonder if Judge Littlejohn requires everyone in his courtroom to use the Bellamy salute as well. If he doesn't, I think he should start the practice. It would somehow seem more fitting.

September 27, 2010

Economics Department

I Must Have Missed That Class

In graduate school I had the most trouble staying awake in finance lectures. I always thought finance had to be just about the most boring topic ever.

French MEP Rachida Dati, when discussing finance in France, recently said:

I see some [foreign investment funds] looking for returns of 20 or 25% at a time when fellatio is close to zero.

I guess I was just doing finance wrong.

September 26, 2010

Religion Department

Why Philosophers Shouldn't Argue Physics with Stephen Hawking

The Wall Street Journal ran an op-ed by Roger Scruton, an English philosopher, titled "Memo to Hawking: There's Still Room for God". (Sorry, it's behind a paywall.) He attempts to refute Hawking's premise that no God is needed to create a universe from nothing.

Immanuel Kant, who believed that Newton's laws of gravity are not merely true but necessarily true, argued that we humans lack the ability to comprehend the universe as a whole, and thus that we can never construct a valid argument for a designer. Our thinking can take us from one point to another along the chain of events. But it cannot take us to a point outside the chain, from which we can pose the question of an original cause.

Scruton's premise is that nothing has changed and Kant is still right. It's the old argument that there must be a "first cause". If you accept the idea that the Big Bang created the universe, you must accept that something or some being initiated the bang.

Hawkings said that the creation of the universe from nothing was an inevitable consequence of how physics works, and therefore first cause is no longer required. Scruton then deftly moves the goalposts.

If Mr. Hawking is right, the answer to the question "What created the universe?" is "The laws of physics." But what created the laws of physics? How is it that these strange and powerful laws, and these laws alone, apply to the world?

The laws of physics are not physical objects that need to be created. They are a set of explanations for how the universe works. Perhaps Scruton is confused by the word "law". The common usage for the word is that laws are man-made rules. (I'm sure the lawyers reading this have a much more precise definition...) Physicists use the word as a way of describing limitations they place on how the universe can work. In effect, the physicists are the "creators" of the laws, but only insomuch as they were the ones to write them down after figuring them out.

Perhaps a better phrase is "description of physical properties of the universe". That's a bit more cumbersome, though. No being is required to describe how the universe works. Now that we have a good idea about how a universe is inevitably created from nothing, no being is required for first cause either.

If you want a great description of just how universes can be created from nothing, watch 'A Universe From Nothing' by Lawrence Krauss (a real physicist). Krauss and Hawking seem to have a better grip on how the universe works than Scruton and Kant have.

September 25, 2010

Science Department

Powers of Ten

I first saw the Powers of Ten short on Carl Sagan's Cosmos. (If you don't know who Carl Sagan was, please don't tell me. It will just make me feel terribly old and sad.) Way back in the ancient mists of time the Museum of Science and Industry setup a kiosk looping the video and I stood watching it over and over for as long as I could. That video had a big impact on how I viewed the universe and science.

There's even an official website for the video and they claim that this year, on 10/10/10, they will be having special events. Nothing has been updated on the site since July, so I'm not sure if the plans are going forward. The opening scene is a couple having a picnic on Chicago's lake front, west of the Adler Planetarium and east of the Field Museum. As the "camera" zooms away you see an aerial mosaic photo of Chicago. The Adler had a giant copy of that photo on a wall. I spent even more time staring at that picture than I did watching the video over at MSI.

I'll have to do something this October 10th to commemorate this bit of my daydreaming youth. If there's anyone out there with similar fond memories of this short film, please feel free to give me some ideas. Maybe I can place a geocache at the site where the video begins.

In the meantime, check out this great interactive feature (using Flash) demonstrating the scale of the universe as we understand it now.

Science Department

Bite me, Bambi!

Or, How Eating Habanero Peppers Proves I'm Smarter Than Other Mammals.

It's chili pepper harvesting time again! While most Chicagoans seem enamored with growing tomato plants, I think habanero peppers should be the crop of choice. OK, to be honest, I'm actually too lazy to grow my own, but I have a couple of friends and a neighbor who go through the effort and I reap the rewards. I added the first batch of habaneros to my home-made enchiladas a couple of days ago and am still savoring the thought.

The New York Times science section has a fascinating article about why so many humans love hot peppers. Theories about why we like certain foods often involve evolutionary motivations for good health. In the case of hot peppers it has been suggested that by reducing blood pressure, and even providing some level of pain reduction, we evolved not just a tolerance, but a liking for hot peppers. The problem with this theory is that humans are the only mammals who seek out hot peppers to eat. Birds eat them, but they don't have the same neurological receptors to feel the heat, so to them hot peppers are just another fruit.

If eating the hot peppers gave us an evolutionary advantage other mammals would also have developed a yen for them, perhaps well before homo sapiens split from our common ancestors. Yet even our closest relatives shun the noble jalapeno or habanero.

My son was quite impressed with an in-law who grew up in Mexico and ate habanero peppers whole, so my wife suggested a father-son gardening project. The first year only one plant survived the woodchucks and deer. But what a plant -- it produced a bumper crop of killer orange habaneros. Nothing ate them. In my mind I still see that plant dangling its little orange heat grenades in front of the deer and growling, "Bite me, Bambi."

Dr. Paul Bloom, a psychologist from Yale, sees our love of hot peppers as a unique outgrowth of our abnormally large human brains. He thinks that, perhaps, it's a form of dietary thrill seeking.

The fact that capsaicin causes pain to mammals seems to be accidental. There's no evolutionary percentage in preventing animals from eating the peppers, which fall off the plant when ripe. Birds, which also eat fruits, don't have the same biochemical pain pathway, so they don't suffer at all from capsaicin. But in mammals it stimulates the very same pain receptors that respond to actual heat. Chili pungency is not technically a taste; it is the sensation of burning, mediated by the same mechanism that would let you know that someone had set your tongue on fire.

The lizard portion of our brain gets the signals that our mouth is on fire and tells us to stop eating right now! The more evolved, logic and reasoning part of our brain tells us that it's alright to continue. Logic an reasoning prevail, and we take another bite, thrilled that we survived the first. Being a good scientist, Dr. Bloom has been experimenting to test his theory and so far results have been encouraging.

It's amazing that a love of hot spicy food is one of the indicators of higher intelligence in a species.

September 22, 2010

Science Department

Scientists Model Early Glass Slipper Technology

Breaking news:

New computer simulations have shown how a glass slipper, as described in Grimm's Cinderella, could have been created using a unique combination of quartz-rich silicates found only in northern Germany. When heated to just the right temperature, as was available in primitive furnaces of 14th century middle Europe, the model demonstrated that glass could have annealed by chemicals from nearby dung fires forming a unique matrix. Early cobblers could have used this glass to construct a slipper durable enough to be worn by a young stepdaughter destined to become a princess.

The actual headline I read was Computers show how wind could have parted Red Sea. The first line of the article reads "New computer simulations have shown how the parting of the Red Sea, as described in the Bible, could have been a phenomenon caused by strong winds." It's a summary of an actual scientific article from the journal Plos One. Normally I just ignore crap like this, but it's shown up in the top ten most read articles on the BBC for more than 24 hours now, and Plos One is an up-and-coming journal that has some level of respect in the science community.

From an archeological perspective, just what has the study shown? Well, nothing, actually. It showed that, under certain meteorological conditions, a phenomenon that is known to be possible, is possible in one particular geographic area. If this had been a study to explain an observed event, or to shed light on a particular set of fossils in a particular location, it would have been interesting and useful.

From an anthropological perspective? Very little, if not nothing as well. Studying accounts of actual historical events is a useful process for anthropologists. There is a difference, however, between well documented accounts and stories or legends about events. Stories and legends can be based upon actual events, but often become modified and embellished as they get repeated. The Iliad is a good example of story telling based upon what may, or may not be, an actual historical event.

The Iliad is a wonderful set of stories about the Trojan War. There is some evidence that the Mycenaeans mounted expeditions against the city of Illium. This may have been what Homer's stories were based upon. There is nothing, however, to suggest that people called Achilles, Ajax, Hector and Paris fought personal battles over the honor of anyone. There is no evidence that the infamous Trojan Horse is anything other than a very cool plot twist in an epic story.

There were certainly great battles and wars fought by the ancient Greeks, but we have no account of the details of the Trojan War outside of the epic poems of Homer. It would be (scientifically) pointless to create computer models showing how a Trojan horse could be built using the technology employed by the ancient Greeks. It might make for a crappy Discovery Channel show, but should never be published in a respected scientific journal.

The Biblical story of the Exodus is just that; a story. A legend. It may be based on some actual events, but the details of those events have been lost. Archeo-anthropologists can't even find good evidence that an ancient tribe of Israel was ever enslaved by the Pharaohs of Egypt, though it's certainly possible. If such an exodus occurred, however, the stories in the Torah, Old Testament and Qur'an are like the tales compiled by the brothers Grimm.

Grimm's Fairy Tales is a collection meant to teach values or morals, written in an entertaining style, based upon stories that had been told by countless generations in many forms. I hate to be the one to break it to you, but Cinderella is not about a specific German girl in a specific German village who became a princess of a known kingdom. I'm sure that, throughout history, there have been actual people who started out with a raw deal and eventually ended up making good. I also am sure that ancient enslaved peoples have at times managed to become free from their masters and settled in new regions.

Trying to prove a specific element from one such tale, such as the parting of the Red Sea, or the existence of a glass slipper, is scientifically pointless. Those who think that, without proof of the details, the meaning of those stories will be lost are just as pointless.

September 17, 2010

Chicago News Department

Buzz My Bell

Here's something you don't see everyday in the news:


A worker at Arlington Park racetrack has been arrested and charged with having sexual conduct with a horse.

The horse's name was "Buzz My Bell". Given that, and the fact that she was prancing around naked in public, I think she was just asking for it. Besides, how do they know it wasn't consensual?


September 16, 2010

Computers Department

Some Geeks are Creepy

Google had a bit of an embarrassing security problem recently. An engineer did a very creepy thing and spied on teenager's Google accounts while interacting with the teens online. Apparently no laws were broken but Google, obviously, fired the engineer. Google's statement about the incident underwhelmed Greg Laden:

Sorry Google, we are not impressed. We'd like to see an independent investigation, possible prosecution, and who knows, maybe some new laws and regulations.

The idea that we should have some new laws to make systems such as Gmail more secure is an bad idea.

Because users see technology and security as a block box they are often blindsided when there is a failure or breach of trust. Greg is right that the response from Google is inadequate for most users. The response was fine for me. After all, I understand what happened and it didn't surprise me. The problem is that the response didn't address the trust that was broken with most of its users who don't understand the systems inside that black box.

I dislike, however, the suggestion that new laws and regulations should be put in place to prevent such problems in the future. Making it illegal for system engineers to open data files without permission may decrease the number of incidents, but probably wouldn't be effective at stopping such practices with just legal punishment as a deterrent. Making it impossible for engineers to see data will mean a fundamental change in the way such systems operate. Security is always a trade-off against usability and expense. Having the government choose that balance point and force it upon Google and other service providers is the wrong response.

I've always tried to address such issues with user education. Users often have a black-box mentality and think that such issues are somehow automatically taken care of by the system. Users (especially managers) need to be aware of just how much power system administrators have.

I worked as a sysadmin at a college when email was first introduced to staff. I taught users the old IT adage that email was the electronic equivalent of postcards. Every employee of the post office who touches that postcard can, if they so desire, read the message. I also made it clear that I had access to anything they stored on the server (including email) and even conducted security workshops showing them how easy it was for people like me to defeat the simple encryption used in the software of the time. I tried very hard to build the trust with my users that I wouldn't abuse that power, but wanted them to know what was possible.

Google lost some trust from its user base. The response from Google was "Why would anyone trust such a system?" In one respect they are right. Users should never have trusted such a system. I don't, but that's because I understand some of what is going on inside the black box after clicking the "send" button.

Perhaps Google should be leading an effort to upgrade the security of email and other messaging services, but by working with users rather than working under new government regulations. Email protocols were not designed for security. Of course the basic protocol of the Internet (TCP/IP) was not designed for secure transactions either, yet I'm confident that my online banking transactions are secure because of an end-to-end protocol called SSL/TLS*.

Users can already make their email secure using a similar system (called PGP) if they wish, but few people know how. Perhaps Google should lead the effort by streamlining the user interface and popularizing such a system. Google would need to educate the users and work with them to figure out what level of security is needed and how much effort users would be willing to put into such a system to make it work. Users may have to maintain special keys, for example, to communicate with recipients on different email systems. While Google can make that process easier, it will still require some effort on the user end to gain that extra security. There is always a tradeoff.

Pushback against such encryption, however, would come from governments. Governments around the world, for example, freaked out once they realized they couldn't snoop on people's Blackberry accounts. The United States government fought the introduction of PGP when it was first introduced claiming it was too dangerous to allow the technology out of the country. (Because of our government's insistence that PGP not be provided on the Internet I had to download my first copy from an overseas server.) The US government would certainly resist any pervasive end-to-end technology that would prevent them from reading email.

Government involvement in this issue seems like a bad idea. It would force providers to choose a level of security that people may not need once they understand that email is just a digital postcard. Any government solution would also build in a government backdoor allowing them access to any secure system. In this case I really would like the government to not get involved.


* I'll provide a brief introduction to the concept of end-to-end encryption below. Anyone not interested in how this stuff works should stop reading now.

Transactions can be made secure on an inherently unsecure system by introducing an additional protocol (set of rules) above the unsecure layer providing a "session" that encrypts information before the unsecure protocol and only decrypts that information after the data goes beyond the unsecure protocol at the other end. Hence it's an "end-to-end" system and doesn't rely upon unsecure devices in the middle of the route taken by the data.

For example, the Internet uses an unsecure protocol called TCP/IP to get information from one computer to another, let's say from your home computer to your bank. Rather than redesigning the unsecure protocol it is better to add an end-to-end encryption/decryption system "above" the unsecure protocol. When your computer talks to the computer at the bank it uses a system called Secure Sockets Layer / Transport Layer Security (SSL/TLS) to accomplish this.

end_to_end_01.gif


The green lines represent information that can be read since it is not encrypted (plaintext) The red lines represent the encrypted information (ciphertext) that no one can read. We don't really know what is happening to the information in the blue lines, but we don't care since it's already been encrypted.

If you are not using an encrypted email client (most of the world does not) your message may still be encrypted in the same way as your bank information, but that is not end-to-end for an email message since there is a third party involved (the email recipient). Your message may be encrypted below the email client as your bank password was, but it will be decrypted before it gets to the email server where it is stored unencrypted, until the recipient asks for it from their email client. This means your email cannot be read by anyone eavesdropping somewhere in the Internet (what is called a man-in-the-middle attack), but it can be read by anyone with access to the file on the email server.

A program such as Pretty Good Privacy (PGP) can work with an email client to encrypt a message before your computer sends it to an email server. Your message will stay encrypted, even on the email server, until a similar program decrypts the message at the email client on the other side. This allows for end-to-end encryption even when messages are stored on servers awaiting delivery and the messages will stay encrypted in all locations other than at the sender's and recipient's email programs.

end_to_end_02.gif
Other messaging systems, such as SMS or chat rooms, can be designed to work the same way.

September 15, 2010

Crime and Punishment Department

Cops Protest for Right to Beat Up People in Wheelchairs

Just a quick note to point out something that really annoyed me this morning. Chicago cops are protesting at police headquarters.

Before the marchers stepped off, several hundred officers were gathering in front of police headquarters, carrying signs including "More police/No Weis!!", "Simply resign" and "Free Cozzi," referring to Officer William Cozzi, who was convicted of beating a handcuffed patient in an incident that was caught on videotape.

Yup. Chicago cops are seriously pissed off that one of their own wasn't allowed to beat up a citizen who was already handcuffed to a wheelchair. They are so upset about losing their rights to beat handcuffed wheelchair bound citizens they need to picket Superintendent Jody Weis, who did nothing to stop the evil federal government from prosecuting the fine upstanding officer who did the beating.

Others have said sweeping personnel changes at the start of his tenure sent the wrong message. But his handling of Cozzi, who beat a suspect handcuffed to a wheelchair, rankled officers the most.

Of course it did!

A female demonstrator who said she was an 11-year veteran of the police department but who declined to give her name, was wearing a yellow T-shirt reading: "In case of emergency, run like hell!"

"We don't run away, we go to," she said.

Yes, the heroism of officers like William Cozzi has been documented.

Don't you understand? If police become afraid to beat up people in wheelchairs it will be the end of civilization! Gangs of criminals will roam the streets beating people up with no fear of being locked away for their crimes!

September 14, 2010

Science Department

Is an Earth-Centered Solar System a Silly Idea?

The science blogging community has been having a good laugh over the past few days about a "scientific" conference being held in South Bend Indiana (near Notre Dame!) on how Galileo was wrong about the heliocentric solar system. Yup, it's a conference to discuss and review the science and politics of the geocentric model supporting the idea that the Earth is at the center of the solar system.

Along with the expected jabs at the whole notion, a study showing that only 79% of Americans believe the Earth travels around the Sun is often cited. Comments about this usually range from simple ridicule of public knowledge to condemnation of science education in the country. Others say the blame shouldn't be placed on education but on religious institutions instead. I'll stick with blaming education.

Bear with me as a make a statement that will, at first, seem as if I'm part of the ignorant 21% of America. Geocentrism (the hypothesis that the Sun and all the planets revolve around the Earth) should not necessarily be ridiculed out of hand as a completely silly notion. When standing on the Earth making observations of the universe it does an amazing job explaining what you can see and measure using simple instruments. It is a good scientific theory in that it uses those measurements to construct a hypothetical model of how the solar system works and makes testable predictions which can be observed.

"But what about retrograde motion of the outer planets?" you may ask. Excellent question! Your class participation is duly noted. We can see that, from the perspective of the Earth, at times some planets appear to stop in their orbit of the Earth, move backwards for a bit, then proceed forward once again. Geocentrism can explain that by placing those planets in their own, smaller orbit about a point which itself orbits the Earth. Back when geocentrism was the accepted theory of how the solar system worked, scientific predictions were made and the future observations were very accurate. The heliocentrics of the day also tried to explain such motion, but their predictions were less accurate. Science, rightly so, considered the Sun-centered model to be wrong. Geocentrism fit the data better and made better predictions.

Here in Chicago the Adler Planetarium has an amazing display of mechanical models of the solar system. I recall seeing one showing just how an Earth-centered solar system works. If you are ever in Chicago it's worth taking a look at the collection.

The Sun-entered model made such bad predictions because planetary orbits are not circular. Once Kepler developed the theory that planets swept their orbits out in ellipses rather than circles supporters of the now-altered Sun-centered model were able to make predictions just as accurate as supporters of the Earth-centered model. The two theories now had equal evidence to support them. Some hung onto the Earth-centered model since it was better established. Others preferred the Sun-centered model for its simplicity.

There were developments, though, that tipped the balance in favor of the Sun-centered solar system. Ethan Siegel over at Starts With a Bang! explains why and compares the two competing theories. To summarize, the invention of the telescope allowed for new observations. First it was noticed that Jupiter had its own set of moons which obviously orbited Jupiter and not Earth. While this observation discredited the religious notion that everything in the universe revolved around our planet, it was not the nail in the coffin of geocentrism. After all, the outer planets already were thought to revolve around their own central point in an epicycle. Imagining that moons could orbit planets while those systems orbited the Earth was not difficult.

What was difficult to explain, though, was the telescopic observation that Venus had phases and that the phases coincided with an apparent increase or decrease in observed size of the planet. That observation was repeated by independent astronomers again and again. No geocentrist was able to come up with a plausible, testable model to explain the observation. The heliocentric model, on the other hand, actually predicted such an observation. Science finally had the final nail to drive into the geocentric coffin.

The scientific theory that the earth was at the center of the solar system was still a good theory. You could use the scientific method to make predictions and test those predictions. It was rightly accepted as the best model until previously unavailable observations were made. It was rightly discarded once a different theory better fit the observations while still making good testable predictions. A geocentric solar system model wasn't silly. It was good science. It just happened to be wrong.

The Sun is at the center of our solar system with the Earth and other 7 planets revolving about it in nearly perfect ellipses. One in five Americans do not know this. I blame our education system. For an explanation of why you will need to stay tuned to this channel.

September 12, 2010

Homeland Security Department

Not Everyone Who Peeks Up Skirts is a Terrorist

This just in:

International terrorists, no longer content with blowing up buildings, are now targeting parking lot lights in home center stores. This is a dangerous new development. Obviously Al Qaeda is jealous of our well lit parking lots and feel they can bring America to her knees by darkening our shopping experience one lamp post at a time.

If you glanced at the linked article you will see that some people freaked out over something called a geocache. Geocaching is a slightly strange hobby that is not accurately described in the article. (The article even managed to get the store location wrong.) Geocaching is a hobby where people hide containers that have a small log (sometimes just a strip of paper) and then post the latitude and longitude where it was hidden. Given the limitations of current GPS technology the actual container is not always so easy to find. When you find one, you sign the paper log, leaving a brief story if you like (and room permitting in a logbook), then re-log the find on the Geocaching website.

There are several variations in how you can hide the container, including creating a string of locations required to find the final, or having to solve a puzzle to get the actual coordinates. There are even virtual caches which may require that you post a picture or provide other information from a location to prove you were there.

There are no computer chips inside geocaches. The "geotag" is just the ID number of the cache. The hobby is often described as looking for Tupperware in the forest preserve. Caches are often hidden in old tree trunks. There are also many "urban caches" hidden in well traveled areas. You can see the details on this particular cache.

I used to geocache myself. Yes, I'm a geek. Maybe even a nerd. This cache is what is known as a Lamp Post Skirt (LPS) cache. Many people may not realize that the small "skirt" on the bottom of many lamp posts are not secured and simply lift up. They are in place to prevent the bolts from rusting and to give the lamp post a cleaner appearance. Hardcore geocachers hate them since they are too obvious and easy. New cachers love them since it's kind of cool to find a cache in the middle of a busy place. A friend of mine enjoyed urban caches since he would hunt them while walking his baby in a stroller.

So what we had was a cacher who found an LPS cache (probably an old 35mm film canister), signed the log, replaced the cache and drove away. Supposedly a clerk asked what the cacher was doing. Geocachers, being typical nerds, love explaining the hobby. My guess is that the clerk didn't understand a word and naturally assumed that a terrorist was trying to blow up the lamp post. With something the size of a film canister. At a Menards floor covering facility. 250 foot away from the store, near a retention pond. Nowhere near where any other cars can park.

Of course this is just a lowly store clerk. The store manager, I'm sure, wouldn't freak out and call the police. Well, maybe he would. But the police, who are notified by area geocachers about the hobby periodically would think first, check the geocaching website and not freak out. Well, maybe they would. But once on the scene surely they wouldn't freak out and evacuate the store calling in the bomb squad. Well...

Is there anyone with enough experience with explosives out there who could tell me just how much damage can be caused by stuffing gunpowder (or even TNT) into a film canister and placing it under a lamp post skirt? My impression (from my vast experience watching the Discover Channel) is that beyond blowing the skirt apart at the seams, you would be hard pressed to dent the lamp post.

Listen up people. When you see someone with a camera and a logbook taking pictures of a train, that is not a terrorist. When you see someone peeking up the skirt of a lamp post while holding a GPSr, that is not a terrorist. These people are called nerds or geeks. Their unforgivable post-911 sin is that they don't act normal. Many of them don't even look normal. That didn't used to be a crime.

Science Department

A Good Learning Experience for NASA

Vinny Gambini once said:

It's a procedure. Like rebuilding a carburetor has a procedure. You know, when you rebuild a carburetor, the first thing you do is you take the carburetor off the manifold? Supposing you skip the first step, and while you're replacing one of the jets, you accidentally drop the jet, it goes down the carburetor, rolls along the manifold, and goes into the head. You're fucked. You just learned the hard way that you gotta remove the carburetor first, right? So that's all that happened to me today. I learned the hard way. Actually, it was a good learning experience for me.

Last Friday someone accidentally dropped a nut while crews were mating the space shuttle Discovery to it's main tank. The nut went down the carburetor, rolled along the manifold, and went into the head. They were fucked.

Actually, the nut, belonging to one of the separation bolts, ended up dropping into the aft compartment of the orbiter. Just like the jet in Vinny's story, you can't just reach in and grab the errant nut.

First a team of engineers and technicians needs to make sure the nut didn't damage anything it may have hit. Then they have to decide how to get into the compartment where the nut is resting. The orbiter is vertical as it is mated to the external tank and the aft compartment wasn't meant to be accessible in this orientation. Will they need to put the orbiter horizontal again? How will this impact the schedule for launch?

Ideas are discussed. Eventually they decide a scaffold can be constructed so that someone can access the aft compartment. The plan is evaluated. After a briefing, management gives it's approval. The procedure begins. Under the watchful eye of the engineering team, a technician manages to retrieve the nut.

24 hours after the nut was dropped everything is nominal once again. The orbiter can continue to be mated to the external tank.

There are more than 2.5 million parts in the Space Transportation System. If someone drops one of them, say a nut, it can take 24 hours to get back on track if things go well. This is one of the reasons the STS never became the "space truck" I was promised when in high school.

The STS is a design from the 60's that was fleshed out in the 70's and first launched in 1981. When excitedly watching that first launch I would never have imagined the same system would still be flying in 2011. By now we were supposed to have moved on to new technologies and systems.

The Augustine Commission made some great suggestions about how to move science and human spaceflight into the future They basically said that NASA was good at doing things that had never been done before, developing new technologies to do those things. Things like visiting an asteroid or one of the moons of Mars. They wanted to leave development and operations of the next space truck to private enterprise.

This was a good plan and I was pleasantly surprised when Obama endorsed it pretty much as suggested. Congress, however, is fighting against it. They want to keep NASA, and the long-established lucrative contracts, chugging along without any changes. They want to keep fying 1970's technology to low earth orbit and maybe go back to the moon using an updated, larger version of the 1960's Saturn/Apollo system. And science? They are cutting most of the science missions out so they can pay for keeping us stuck in the past.

Developing a plan for NASA is a procedure. Like rebuilding a carburetor has a procedure. Congress has the future of NASA in their hands and they forgot to take the graft carburetor off the funding manifold first.

We're fucked.

September 11, 2010

9/11 Department

A Global Attack

Exactly why terrorists attacked the United States nine years ago is still debated. One fact that is clear, however, is that the United States is a special and unique place in the world.

When terrorists killed nearly 3000 random people on American soil, they ended up killing not just Americans, but citizens of 76 other countries as well.

Performing Arts Department

Opera Review Needed

A new opera, called 'u' premiered in Holland a couple of nights ago and I was unable to attend. If anyone managed to see it I would be interested in a review. I missed the invitation to the event since it was sent to Klingons on Qo'noS, an M-class planet orbiting the star Arcturus and I was stuck in Chicago.

September 10, 2010

Religion Department

Eating Babies and Missing the Point

I was reading yet another story about the good old fashioned book burning organized, then cancelled, by Pastor Terry Jones. President Hamid Karzai was quoted as saying:

"We have heard that in the US, a pastor has decided to insult Korans. Now although we have heard that they are not doing this, we tell them they should not even think of it.

"By burning the Koran, they cannot harm it. The Koran is in the hearts and minds of one-and-a-half billion people. Insulting the Koran is an insult to nations."

It sounds like he has read Fahrenheit 451 and even managed to understand the premise that burning a book cannot destroy the ideas within the pages. Yet he still considers the act an insult to the book. Protesters around the world burn American flags (which doesn't matter since that act cannot harm the ideals of the US Constitution) angry that the US government didn't take away the liberties of the Koran burners.

Can we compare or contrast this with Everybody Draw Mohammed Day? What is the difference between that (very cool) event and the Great Orlando Koran BBQ? One difference, I suppose, is in the intent of the event. Pastor Jones really does want to insult Muslims and is not trying to promote freedom of expression. I'm sure, however, that many Mohammed artists had the same intent, ignoring the idea that it was supposed to be about threats to freedom of expression.

As a baby-eating American atheist it did get me to thinking about how these actions are perceived by Muslims around the world. The protesters around the world do seem to understand that Pastor Jones is trying to insult them yet fail to understand why our government allows Koran burning.

What can be done to change that perception? People like Imam Feisal Abdul Rauf, the leader behind the Cordoba House, are working on interfaith projects in hopes that followers of different religions will realize that they are not so different after all.

This sounds like a reasonable idea. Perhaps the problem with Koran burnings and Draw Mohammed days is that they focus on one faith. Maybe what we need is a interfaith event that will insult as many religions as possible all at once. And we should find a way to desecrate an American flag as well so the flag worshipers don't feel left out. Maybe then the people around the world will realize that the US government allows these events not because Americans hate Muslims, but because Americans love freedom of speech.

So what we need is a new event. Maybe we can barbecue a cow using Bibles for fuel and use the ashes to draw Mohammed. Hmm... Only insulting three religions there. We have to be able to do better than that.

[Note: Ken neglected to provide a title for his first post, so I made one up. -- Mark]

Classical mythology is, perhaps, far more ingrained in Western society than my co-blogger Mark may realize. From a scientific perspective it would appear that the only contribution is to naming conventions for some astronomical objects and some of our technology. From a literary and anthropological perspective, however, I don't think you should underestimate the impact. It is from this perspective that, I believe, a high school English teacher would be motivated.

Actually, I remember that part of freshman English. I received a crappy grade on homework writing about Greek mythology in a modern setting. At the time I didn't understand the poor grade, but much later realized that it was because, apparently, I took the idea too "frivolously." (I wrote a mock weather forecast using some of the myths as inspiration and included hand-drawn satellite weather maps.)

Notwithstanding that experience, as I studied anthropology and literature I began realize the huge impact that classical mythology exerted on Western culture. The stories really are repeated over and over in all sorts of books, television shows and movies. The Hercules and Xena shows were heavily based upon such mythology for example, sometimes using plot lines almost verbatim and are obviously more than influenced by the classical myths. Other times the stories are there, but hidden better in a modern retelling such as with The Godfather, Jaws, or Star Trek.

From an anthropological perspective the influence is even greater. Pauline Christianity (what 99% of the world just calls "Christianity") is based in large part on Greek and Roman mythology since the disciple Paul was using it in a (very successful) effort to convert the Roman world from polytheism to monotheism. He took the Jewish messianism movement and merged it with Roman beliefs to found his version of Christianity which is a fundamental, pervasive part of Western culture.

Classical mythology is not history in the same sense as the writings of Josephus are; they are not a record of specific historical figures and events. They are, however, an influential part of our cultural history which still exerts a great deal of cultural influence to this day. I would even say it could be called a religion even if it isn't very actively practiced anymore. (The Hellenic Polytheistic Reconstructionism movement has, apparently, been enjoying a bit of a surge recently, so it could even be termed a current religion.)

I'll take Mark's word as Gospel that the new Clash of the Titans movie sucks and will studiously avoid it. I'm not sure it's fair to blame it on the original stories themselves, though. Nor would it be wise to hope that those stories never be used again in modern culture. After all, I often enjoyed Xena: Warrior Princess. And not just because of the outfits worn by the protagonists.

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Libertarian-ish

Hit & Run
Cataloguing every inch of our daily slide down the slippery slope towards a more totalitarian state.
Virgina Postrel
Author, columnist, and famous kidney doner.
The Agitator
Radley Balko, libertarian at large.
Nobody's Business
A blog about negative liberty.
Ravings of a Feral Genius
The one, the only, Jennifer.
Honest Courtesan
Notes from a retired call girl.

Bloggy Goodness

Duly Noted
Yet another Lindsay Beyerstein blog.
InstaPundit
Law professor, author, columnist, music engineer, the founding father of the blogosphere.
StrategyPage
News and commentary on all things military.
Last One Speaks
A complicated woman with simple tastes.
Ethics Alarms
Jack Marshall at large.

War on Drugs

StoptheDrugWar.org
Taking the drug war debate to the blogosphere
DrugWar Rant
More reasons every week for hating the War on Drugs.
DUI Blog
The road to hell is paved with good intentions and patrolled by Mothers Against Drunk Driving.
The D'Alliance
The Drug Policy Alliance blog.
Vigil for Lost Promise
A counterweight to the DEA's exploitive site.

Blawgs

a Public Defender
Rants, explanations, and complaints from a public defender.
Simple Justice
Rants, explanations, and complaints from a private lawyer.
Defending People
The art and science of criminal defense trial lawyering
Probable Cause
The legal blog with the really low standard of review.
Unwashed Advocate
Former Military Underdog
Indefensible
David Feige, creator of Raising the Bar and former public defender.
Koehler Law Blog
Don't be fooled by how pretty it is
Not Guilty
A lawyer in search of a clue.
Norm Pattis
Norm will fight for you!
Marc Randazza
The Legal Satyricon: First Amendment Law
Gamso - For the Defense
An Ohio criminal defense lawyer
Criminal Defense
It's like a criminal defense blog, but from Florida
ECILCrime
East Central Illinois criminal defense.
Underdog Blog
Criminal defense, politics, and God only knows what else.
CrimLaw
A big, goofy, ballcap-wearing prosecutor who even likes dogs. [review]
Blonde Justice
Funny stories about criminal defense.
Crime & Federalism
Legal analysis and bitching. [review]
Seeking Justice
Tom McKenna, Virginia prosecutor on a mission from God.
The Volokh Conspiracy
Smart legal experts.
D.A. Confidential
Making prosecutors seem just like normal lawyers
Crime and Consequences Blog
Because we're just not punishing people enough
Graham Lawyer Blog
Interesting writing about the law.
New York Personal Injury Law Blog
Better than you'd think from the SEO-friendly name
West Virginia Criminal Law Blog
Also better than you'd think from the SEO-friendly name
South Carolina Criminal Defense Blog
And one more that's better than you'd think from the SEO-friendly name

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Schneier on Security
Smart thinking about computers and other security problems.
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Crazy stories about bad things inside computer software and how they got there.
xkcd
Extremely geeky comics.
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Smart writing about search engine technology.
The Altruist
Agony Unleashed in EVE Online.

Economics

Steven Landsburg
The Armchair Economist
Greg Mankiw's Blog
Aurhor of the most popular macroeconomics textbook
Marginal Revolution
Everything happens in the margins
Megan McArdle
Business and economics

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Strobist
How to light everything in the world with speedlights
iN-PUBLiC.com
Very cool modern street photography.
Digital Photography Review
Detailed reviews of digital cameras and vicious forum debates too.
Ken Rockwell
Strong opinions about photography.
Dan Heller
Photographs and the business of photography.
Bert P. Krages II
Photography and the law.

Chicagoland

Leslie's Omnibus
I have no idea what this blog is about.
Marathon Pundit
John Ruberry runs, drives, and blogs.

Media

Eric Zorn
Possibly the Chicago Tribune's first blogger.
Miss Manners
A marvelous writer and deeper than you think.
Roger Ebert's Journal
A great writer and a useful film critic.

Resources

WolframAlpha
Data + Computation = Fun Knowledge.
Institute for Justice
A merry band of libertarian litigators.
EFF: Bloggers
The Electronic Frontier Foundation's page for bloggers.
CIA World Factbook
A brief summary about every nation.
Wikipedia
The mostly-useful encyclopedia of everything.
Current Impact Risks
It has to happen some day.

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Peter McWilliams
Ain't Nobody's Business If You Do

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